There is no complacency.

The order from the top of the Labor Party is that nothing can be taken for granted – certainly not the 99 per cent chance Sir John Curtis gave Labor of forming the next government after the election.

Yet victory, even a landslide, is possible—at least According to stubbornly consistent opinion polls.

The latest major investigation, Provided by YouGovSir Keir Starmer’s landslide victory was second only to Tony Blair’s landslide victory in 1997, when Labor won a majority of 179 seats.

Labor won 403 MPs, the Conservatives 155, the Liberal Democrats 49 and the Scottish National Party 23, for a total of 154, giving Labor a majority.

Another large survey recently conducted by Survation used the same methodology Material requirements planning technology Large sample analyzed by region, More apocalyptic for the Conservatives. That would reduce the Conservatives’ number to just around 100 MPs and give Sir Keir a record 256-seat majority.

Keir Starmer faces the possibility of winning a majority similar to what Tony Blair saw. Image: PA
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Keir Starmer faces the possibility of winning a majority similar to what Tony Blair saw. Image: PA

Labour’s current representation in the House of Commons will be doubled, while the Conservatives’ representation will be more than halved.

The Reform Party will have no MPs.

Prominent Conservative MPs and ministers are set to lose their seats in these MRP polls, and in numerous national polls over the past few years.

Those at risk include Iain Duncan Smith, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Penny Mordaunt, Jeremy Hunt, Grant Shapps and James Cleverly.

Rishi Sunak appears to be facing defeat at the next election, according to recent polls. Image: PA
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Rishi Sunak appears to be facing defeat at the next election, according to recent polls. Image: PA

Public opinion appears to have stabilized. Many Conservative MPs feel no one listens to them anymore.

Who will go into a landslide Labor government?

Assuming the polls are right for once, and the gap between the two parties does not close before the vote, the country, if not the ever-cautious Labor leadership, needs to start thinking about what a landslide Labor government would look like.

Nothing compares to the enthusiasm for Tony Blair in 1997 – Keir Starmer had a negative personal rating, only better than Rishi Sunak Much more.

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Voters are more disillusioned with politicians of any kind than they were back then, but a landslide is a landslide and some comparisons need to be made.

Opinion polls paint a rosy picture for Labour. Image: PA
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Opinion polls paint a rosy picture for Labour. Image: PA

When a team is winning easily, it’s difficult to change the lineup. It must be assumed that Prime Minister Starmer will be flanked by the same shadow cabinet in the same role.

In key national positions, neither David Lamy at the Foreign Office nor Rachel Reeves, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, have the authority and reputation enjoyed by Robin Cook and Gordon Brown.

They also step in during more difficult economic and international times.

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In the interior department, veteran Yvette Cooper is matched by Jack Straw. She needs to credibly address immigration, a topic that is top of mind for the public right now.

New creative thinking is more likely to come from more junior ministers, such as health’s Wes Streeting and deputy leader Angela Rayner.

Current Labor deputy leader Angela Rayner will play a key role in any potential Labor government. Image: PA
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Angela Reiner

Starmer plans to retain control by establishing an executive government of himself, Reeves, Rayner and Pat McFadden. Reeves and McFadden were primarily the enforcers of economic discipline. Tensions could quickly arise even among this senior group as Starmer and Reeves face internal pressure to make real improvements to public services.

If polls are accurate, Labor will have no excuses

An overwhelming majority would give Labor no excuse for not delivering on its promises.

In its first 100 days, the new Labor government will have to enact measures it has done little to do, including a value-added tax on private schools and a new deal for workers and unions.

It can get anything through Parliament. This, combined with trying not to set unnecessary targets for the Conservatives, may explain why the five tasks Starmer has set for himself lack specificity.

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The campaign may see something similar to Blair’s promise card, which set modest achievable targets in key areas of public concern.

Currently, Labor has little more than passionate rhetoric on improving economic growth, the NHS, green energy, education and childcare. Likewise, Reeves promised restructuring and new “quangos”, but this had little to do with the high-growth economy Labor said it needed.

In a landslide, more than half of Labor MPs will enter Westminster for the first time. People have been trying to select Star Troopers among the winnable seats, but leadership won’t know them all.

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The new Labor parliamentary party will be younger. Millennial concerns such as housing and college costs will become more important issues.

Brexit’s backfire on the Conservatives and gender self-identification on the Scottish government could hamper efforts to move faster on divisive issues.

Neither his MPs nor party conferences gave him much trouble during Blair’s first term. Starmer might also benefit from a combination of inexperience and gratitude.

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Opinion polls show Labor will win more than 400 seats in landslide

With the new prime minister simultaneously committed to running the government and “empowering” regions, challenges within Labour are likely to come from the mayors of Manchester, Liverpool and London, assuming they are re-elected in their own right this year.

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Her Majesty’s Opposition cannot be expected to raise much real objection if it is overwhelmingly crushed.

The Conservatives will be powerless in Parliament and, if 1997 to 2005 is any guide, are more interested in an internal struggle for leadership within the party.

The Lib Dems will be happy to restore their status as the official third force in the UK at the expense of the SNP. Neither side can hope for anything but virtue signaling.

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The Shadow of Tony Blair’s New Labour

For much of the Blair years, constructive scrutiny of the government was dominated by the mainstream media, coaxed and cajoled by Peter Mandelson and Alastair Campbell.

This won’t happen again. The print and broadcast landscape is fragmented, with many outlets more dedicated to campaigning than fair reporting.

Like Barack Obama and Joe Biden in the US, Starmer should be viciously attacked from day one. There will be no honeymoon.

After a “moment of change” election, voters may be inclined to adopt a presumption of innocence towards the new government for a long time – but for how long?

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The Labor leader said there wasn’t much “emotional space” growing up.

Starmer has repeatedly said his government would need two terms to deliver real change. An overwhelming victory will provide the best foundation for building.

In hindsight, Tony Blair has repeatedly lamented that his government got off to a slow start and failed to achieve the goals it set out to achieve in its first term.

Before his first victory, his campaign was not planning a landslide victory but was preoccupied with preparations for a coalition with Paddy Ashdown’s Lib Dems.

It’s one thing to be cautious, but another to make the most of opportunities. With many voters telling pollsters they want Labor to win, they must be hoping someone in Starmer’s rigid hierarchy is thinking hard about how they might achieve a major victory.

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