The Indian Premier League 2024 is half over, and one of the most talked-about franchises Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB) is at the bottom of the points table with just two points and a poor Net Run Rate (NRR) of -1.046. RCB can still qualify for the IPL 2024 playoffs even after losing seven of their eight matches. Despite contributions from batsmen like Virat Kohli, Dinesh Karthik and captain Faf du Plessis, their bowling unit has failed on many occasions and their campaign this season has been forgettable.
Nevertheless, all is not lost for RCB, who can still make the top four even if an outside chance remains largely unlikely. Let’s take a look at all the possible permutations and combinations for RCB’s qualification for the IPL 2024 playoffs.
IPL 2024 points table after 39 matches
As their head coach Andy Flower pointed out, RCB need to take every upcoming game as a knockout. To ensure that they get at least 14 points, they will have to win their next six matches.
RCB’s next six matches
The basic qualification scenario for RCB would be to win all their remaining six matches by good margins – against SRH, GT (twice), PBKS, DC and CSK – to improve their poor NRR. This will give them 12 points and will take them to 14 points in the overall standings.
That said, if they are tied with one or more teams in the standings with the same number of points, then even 14 points may not prove to be enough, as their NRR has already taken a serious beating.
permutations and combinations
However, for RCB to qualify for the IPL 2024 playoffs, the simple math is to favor the top three (RR, KKR, and SRH) to win as many games as possible, while the next six sides above them (LSG, CSK, GT,). MI, DC, PBKS) lost by the same number so that RCB can remain above them in the standings. Here are some possible ways in which this can be achieved.
– PBKS cannot win more than four of its remaining six league games.
– DC and MI must not win more than three of their remaining six league games.
– CSK and GT must not win more than two of their remaining six league games.
– LSG must not win more than one of their remaining six league games.
– Finally, KKR and SRH must win more than one of their remaining seven league games.
However, this still does not guarantee a place in the playoffs for RCB as they have the second-worst NRR in the league at the moment. To summarise, RCB should hope that all the above changes go their way and the six teams above them suffer heavy defeats while the Royal Challengers themselves muster a resounding win. If all the above things happen and RCB wins all its remaining games, below is how the IPL 2024 table will look.
IPL 2024 final points table as per the above equation
According to the above equation, RCB can not only qualify for the IPL 2024 playoffs but do so with a four-point buffer. They can also afford to lose a game, but that said, there are a lot of ifs and buts that RCB will have to deal with, meaning their qualification for the IPL 2024 playoffs is nothing short of a minor miracle.
Topics mentioned in this article
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