Can an NDA hit “400 Pascals”?What the polls show

New Delhi:

The Bharatiya Janata Party is expected to be elected for a third consecutive term, but is still far from its “target”.your time400 a pairAccording to NDTV polls, the target is the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.

The Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance is expected to win 365 of the 543 contested seats, the Congress-led India is likely to get 122 seats and the remaining 56 seats will be won by parties not aligned with either party.

The projected end result may not come as a surprise, as the NDA (led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi for a third consecutive term) has been viewed by many as the clear winner, but the numbers suggest the gap to the verdict is narrowing Since 2019, the party and the opposition.

Health warning: Polls are often wrong.

The NDA is expected to win 365 seats this year, a 3.4% increase from the 2019 result; it won 353 seats (BJP won 303 seats) and the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance 90 seats.

The NDA’s 2019 vote share was 5% higher than the 336 votes it won in the 2014 elections.

The number of the BJP’s main rivals – the Bharatiya Janata Party in 2014 and 2019 and India in 2024 – increased from 60 in 2014 to 90 in 2019, a 50% increase. In this election, India’s expected turnout was 122 votes, an increase of 35% from the previous year.

The poll’s data comes from nine opinion polls, three of which were conducted by ABP-C Voter on December 25, March 12 and April 16. Across the three polls, the NDA’s expected score jumped from 295-335 to 366 and stabilized. was 373, while India fell from 163 to 156 and then 155.

The biggest expected returns for the BJP-led alliance came from Times-ETG, which secured 358 to 398 seats and India 110-130 seats. The Non-Aligned Party won 64-68 seats here.

India TV-CNX, Zee News-Matrize and Times-Matrize each gave more than 350 seats to NDA and less than 100 seats to India. The exception is Times Matrize, which offers 104 seats to the group.

The closest forecast is India Today-C Voter; a February 8 poll of nearly 36,000 voters put the NDP at 335, the Indian Party at 166 and the other opposition parties at 42 .

NDA wins big in 8 states, Utah

NDA expected to emerge victorious with resounding victory in eight states and Union Territories, including the national capital delhiMr Modi’s hometown gujaratand arunachal pradesh In the Northeast, the BJP flexed its nationalist muscle in the wake of Chinese aggression.

NDAs are also expected to sweep rajasthan – Building on last year’s assembly election victory – Chandigarh, Uttarakhand, himachal pradeshDadra and Nagar Haveli , and Daman and Diu .

These states and union territories send a total of 72 members to the Lok Sabha. If that’s the case, winning these would give the BJP a significant advantage in the final count, especially since polls suggest the saffron party will once again fail to impress in southern India, as widely expected .

In the 2019 elections, the BJP swept Delhi (7 seats), Gujarat (26), Arunachal Pradesh (2), Chandigarh (1), Uttarakhand (5 ), Himachal Pradesh (4) and Daman and Diu (1).

The party also captured 24 of the 25 seats in Rajasthan; the 25th went to an ally.

BJP to rule Hindi heartland

As expected, the BJP and its allies are likely to defeat their opponents in the elections uttar pradesh, Bihar and Madhya Pradesh. The NDA is likely to win 137 out of 149 seats. This result, if true, would almost match the 2019 score; it won 39 out of 40 seats in Bihar, 74 out of 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh and 28 out of 29 seats in Madhya Pradesh .

exist biharThis year, the opposition suffered a huge setback after Chief Minister (and one of the founders of the Indian Group) Nitish Kumar returned his Janata Dal (United) to the NDA and India may just Win five games.

Opinion polls show that in Uttar Pradesh, the Lok Sabha has 80 seats, the highest so far among any state. India must prepare for a rout.and in madhya pradesh Congress will win only one seat.

Bengal faces off with Maharashtra

The battle between the BJP-led Mahayutthi alliance and the Maha Vikas Aghadi alliance Maharashtraand the highly tense conflict between the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Trinamool Bengal, could ultimately give Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s party an advantage. The Mahayuttis are likely to dominate Maharashtra, winning 30 of the 48 seats, and in Bengal maintain, if not make, the progress they made five years ago.

Read | Maharashtra opposition seat deal final, Thackeray team gets 21 seats

Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s party is likely to emerge as the majority winner in Bengal, expected to win 22 of the 42 seats. The BJP won 18 votes in the last polls and is expected to win 19 votes this time. The Congress-led India Bloc, which sees Ms Banerjee as an ally on paper, is likely to be in trouble and get just one seat.

Bharatiya Janata Party’s ‘Southern Mission’

The saffron party has historically performed poorly in southern states, especially tamil nadu and kerala. In 2019, it failed to win either seat, with voting rights of 3.6% and 2.3% respectively.

That could change this year, with the former expected to pick up two seats and the Prime Minister having visited the former a staggering 10 times in the past eight weeks. The BJP is contesting the election without its ally All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK), one of the two main Dravidian parties in the state.

The big winner in Tamil Nadu is expected to be the Indian bloc, led by the ruling Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK), which has 33 seats. The AIADMK could get only four seats.

Read | Tamil Nadu battleground: Without a big ally, will the ‘Modi wave’ work for the BJP?

Elsewhere in the South, the BJP is likely to retaliate to some extent against the Congress. Karnataka, after losing the last parliamentary election. The NDA is contesting 23 of the 28 seats in Karnataka.

exist andhra pradesh The ruling YSR Congress party is likely to retain 16 of the state’s 25 seats. The result could bode well for the YSRCP in the concurrent assembly polls.

Finally, in TelanganaA bitter three-way battle ensued between the Bharatiya Janata Party, the Congress and former chief minister K Chandrashekar Rao’s BRS, which ended with the Congress winning 9 , the BJP won 4 games and the BJP won 3 games. The 17th seat is likely to be won by Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM.

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