For the first time in living memory, U.S. political observers are stunned by the results of this weekend’s Washington, D.C., Republican primary.
In this heavily Democratic city, the results of Republican primaries typically receive little attention. But with 19 convention delegates up for grabs, this could be the final moment for Nikki Haley and moderate Republicans to score at least a victory in their effort to stop former President Donald Trump. Chance.
That things have developed to this point illustrates the depth of despair among the “Never Trump” Republican moderates about the state of their party’s presidential campaign. On Saturday, Trump celebrated three more victories: sweeping victories in Michigan (68.1% of the vote), Idaho (84.9%) and Missouri (100% of 924 caucus votes).
The question is no longer “if” Trump will become the Republican standard-bearer this November, but “when” he can claim to have crossed the threshold and become the party’s “presumptive nominee.”
Mathematically, that’s unlikely to happen this week, although Super Tuesday – when the race will take place across the country, with primaries and caucuses in 15 states and American Samoa – will make him more Get closer to your goals. Haley can’t expect her Tuesday to be particularly “super” in any of the states, where Trump is comfortably ahead in every category.
Trump could cross the finish line next week, on Tuesday, March 12, when Republican primaries are held in Hawaii, Mississippi, Georgia and Washington state, with more than half of the 2,429 votes at this summer’s nominating conventions represent.
Whenever it happens, it happens quickly. That will kick off the more than seven-month electoral battle between Trump and President Joe Biden.
Biden spent the weekend at the presidential resort of Camp David working on two thorny issues: how to resolve the crisis in the Middle East and how to revive his flagging political fortunes. After a period of research, the latter may be more complicated than the former. Siena College Poll Delegated as New York Times reveals the depth of the president’s problem.
The survey shows Trump currently leads Biden 48% to 43% nationally, with 10% of voters undecided or declining to share their choice with pollsters. Less than a quarter of voters say they think the country is “moving in the right direction,” and 61% of those who voted for Biden in 2020 said he is “too old” to serve effectively. His strong disapproval rating is at a record 47%, and any of the president’s efforts to reverse his fortunes have had no impact.
Biden’s next big opportunity comes Thursday night, when he delivers his State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress — and, more importantly, to a national audience on all major broadcast and streaming networks. In prime-time games, he doesn’t allow for mistakes or any kind of misstep – whether physical or figurative.
No single speech can fully resolve the president’s problems, but pressure is mounting on Biden, who polls show 10% of 2020 voters say they plan to support Trump.Democratic Rep. Adam Smith of Washington described the “panic level” in the White House as “high,” saying Politico: “I personally am not as scared as most people…but I also hope that Biden and his team are the stronger campaign.”
Democrats can take some comfort from the determination of “Never Trump” voters to maintain their position. In New Hampshire, 35% of Republican primary voters said they would not support the former president in November under any circumstances. Nationally, polls suggest at least one in five Republicans may be beyond Trump’s reach, but that number could change in either direction depending on the tone of the long-term campaign ahead.
A Bloomberg Polls conducted last week in key battleground states where elections were won or lost found, “Biden is too old, but Trump is too dangerous“. The survey found Trump leading in seven key states, but it’s a new indicator that “double hater“[The voters who disapprove of both men]are still huge.
In an election in which millions of Americans want neither candidate to run, the outcome may hinge on which of the two candidates is less obnoxious than the other.
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