Liberal democrat Are ready to win more seats than Traditionalist Due to the electoral system, if Voting The same, the polling expert remains head John Curtis Where are you
Polling expert told a fringe panel Conservative party conference In Manchester The party needed to make it in a “base camp”, before they could think of climbing the election “Himalayas” to return to the government.
recent Yougov Voting showed liberal Democrats at 15 points, one behind Kemi badenochParty at 16. Improvement led 29%.
Addressing Tory members at the program run by Thinktank Demos, Sir John said: “Liberal Democrat Vote is now geographically more concentrated than your vote, and the electoral system is now treating you as if it treats Liberal Democrats.
“And so the liberals are behind you in the Democrat elections, they are going to win more seats than you almost undoubtedly.”
He told the incident that Boris Johnson gathered in 2019 by Boris Johnson of voters, but was broken with all. Improvement UK Management to take the vast majority of your voters. Similarly, he indicated that many people are lost conservative Voters went to Nigel Faraz’s party from last year’s election.
He showed that the incident polls indicated that Toryse 2016 elections are not more popular among Brexit voters than voters.
He said: “The 2019 Johnsnian alliance has exploded from you under reforms. And because the revaluation of British politics in 2019, it is still there, it does not seem that Brexit does not matter in our politics. It is original. But now your problem is that basically you do not basically capture Pro-EU or Anti-Anti Space.”
In response to a question, where he was asked what the current risk for Toryse was, Sir John said: “The Conservative Party potentially loses its role as an important governing party in Britain. I mean, I think it’s serious.”
He said: “You are found to bring yourself back to the base camp. At the moment, you can not clearly see the Himalayas.”
Instead of dealing with the head of reform on immigration, he said that the party of Mrs. Badenoch should focus on economy or healthcare. Try “out-play improvement”.
“In going to the upper line of your opponents, you are going to be the best reinforced,” Sir John said. “An alternative strategic fight, depending on geography, may think of going around the flakes on the side. Who are probably not protected very well.
“And seeing that you are losing the ground, not only on immigration but also on the economy … but on the minimum economy, there is still a modicum of faith among you among the orthodox voters of 2024. This is the issue, as they were, they see as if they may be more likely to win back.”