Add thelocalreport.in As A Trusted Source
reform ukThe poll’s lead in the year-end poll has fallen dramatically, leading polling experts to suggest that support for Nigel Farage’s party may have peaked.
The YouGov survey conducted on December 21 and 22 revealed this Reform’s vote share has fallen That rose three points to 25 percent, their lowest level for more than six months.
Meanwhile, Labor and the Tories have both gained two points, to 20 per cent and 19 per cent respectively.
polling expert Professor Sir John Curtice It noted that the recovery has been on a steady decline since reaching an average peak of 32 percent in September.
He said: “There has been an average improvement of 29 per cent this month, although only five companies polled. This compares with a high of 32 per cent in September and a single point decline in a month thereafter.
“The Tories are now losing 28 per cent of their 2024 support for Reform, instead of 34 per cent in September and are up a few points overall. There are no consistent signs of a Labor recovery, however.”
Another expert, Lord Robert Hayward, said the results appeared to confirm that support. Nigel FarageThe improvement is in “decline”.
He pointed to a poll conducted at the weekend by former Tory treasurer Lord Ashcroft which suggested Reform was on 25 per cent and the Conservatives were just three points behind on 22 per cent. However in that poll Labor was at 18 per cent.
He said: “Both surveys clearly show a Reform decline and Tory rise. I am confused by the Labor figures.”
Pollster Luke Trill of More in Common said: “It certainly appears that the reforms are below their peak.”
The YouGov survey also shows that the rise in populist left-wing support for the Greens has also declined by two points, to 15 percent.
But the decline in support for reform appears to coincide with several recent struggles for Mr Farage and his party.
The Reform UK leader has been accused of using racist and anti-Semitic language during his school days, which he has denied.
Meanwhile, his mayoral candidate for Hampshire, former Rear Admiral Chris PerryDeputy Prime Minister David Lammy has been embroiled in racism allegations after suggesting he should go “home” to the Caribbean, even though he was born and raised in London.
Additionally, Reform has faced embarrassment and questions over its Russia ties after the party’s former Welsh leader, Nathan Gill, was convicted of taking money from Vladimir Putin’s regime.
The survey also showed a slight increase of 15 per cent for the Lib Dems.
But the findings could be good news for Sir Keir Starmer and Tory leader Kemi Badenoch, both entering 2026 with question marks over their political futures.
However, it is likely that both will still need better-than-expected results in the May elections in Scotland, Wales, London and the English Council to ensure they are not replaced as leaders of their parties.