Sir John Curtis says Labor has a 99% chance of winning the next general election, in a blow to the Conservatives.

The pollster said the chances of the Conservatives being able to turn things around were slim, adding: “Labour will be in a better position than the Conservatives to negotiate a minority government because, apart from potentially the DUP, Labor Conservatives have no friends in the House of Commons.”

A warning from a famous psychologist to Politico Two cabinet ministers are set to resign at the next election, putting more pressure on the embattled Conservative Party.

Robert Halfon has unexpectedly resigned as Minister for Skills, Apprenticeships and Higher Education, while James Heappey has made good on his stated intention to resign as Armed Forces Minister before quitting Parliament at the general election.

His departure means 63 Conservative MPs have publicly stated that they will either resign from parliament or not contest their current seats at the general election.

The resignations come after a series of shocking Conservative poll results, the latest of which was that telegraph– The Savanta poll tracker puts Tory support at 24%, its lowest level since Liz Truss’s disastrous mini-budget forced her out.

Labor has maintained a 20-point lead, fueling speculation that the party will win a landslide and form the next government.

With the House of Commons in recess, Rishi Sunak is preparing for his biggest challenge looming in the May 2 local council elections.

His party faces massive losses as the country fights back against depleted local council funding, rising living costs and growing dissatisfaction with the ruling party.

Mr Sunak launched his local campaign earlier this week, attacking Labor leader Keir Starmer for “arrogantly” taking voters for granted and “assuming he could easily finish in 10th” “.

But a recent poll by Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher said Tory losses were “inevitable” if the party repeated “its poor performance in 2023 , that is, new energy vehicles (NEVs) bring their approval rating below 30%, then they will lose up to 500 seats – half of their seats.” MPs facing elections. “

Mr Sunak urged colleagues to unite in the face of a poor investigation and Tory infighting.

Some backbenchers have privately warned that a poor performance by locals could force another leadership election or force the prime minister to call an early general election.