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sir keir starmer facing a massive rebellion among Labor More than a third of supporters said the party would have a better chance of winning the next election If it is replaced, According to a new survey for Independent,
The survey by market research company JL Partners found that 38 per cent of those who voted for the Labor Party in 2024 said it would perform better at the ballot box with a new leader, while only 13 per cent said it would perform worse.
In an equally devastating assessment of his prime ministership, Labor voters ranked Sir Keir as the worst Labor prime minister in history, with Tony Blair ranked as the second worst.
The survey results represent another blow to the embattled Prime Minister, whose future remains the subject of heated speculation after reports of plots by Labor backbenchers and Cabinet rivals to oust him.
Independent The survey was launched this month after it emerged that Labor Together, the Labor campaign group credited with helping Sir Keir come to power, had secretly run a poll on his popularity among its members.
The results of the research have not been published but it is likely that they will reflect the results of Independent The survey, which included the same two key questions: should Sir Keir resign; And if so, who should replace him from the list of eight potential alternative candidates named.
Surprisingly, perhaps, Labor voters have less confidence in their ability to win than the broader general public. The three-to-one margin among Labor voters in favor of him resigning compares with a two-to-one margin among all those who voted in last year’s general election.
A total of 39 per cent of Labor voters surveyed said getting rid of the current leader would make no difference to the party’s electoral hopes.
When asked who should replace Sir Keir, a total of 19 per cent of Labor supporters supported andy burnham – despite the fact that the Mayor of Greater Manchester is not an MP.
He is followed by the former Deputy Prime Minister angela rainer (10 per cent), deputy party leader Lucy Powell (nine per cent), Health Secretary Wes Streeting and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband (both on six per cent); Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood (four percent); Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson (three per cent) and Chief Secretary to the Prime Minister Darren Jones (two per cent).
It is noteworthy that the top three alternative leaders elected by Labor supporters are to the left of Starmer from a political perspective.
That could help Labor fend off the challenge from the Green Party, which has seen a revival under new leader Zac Polanski, but it could make it harder to hold on to Labor voters in the so-called red wall constituencies in the party’s traditional northern areas that are hurting Nigel Farage’s Reform UK.
In particular, Labor voters in the North West are the strongest that Sir Keir leaving would benefit the party: a total of 14 per cent of voters in the region said Labor would perform “much better” if he replaced him.
Fifteen percent of Labor voters said they would not support any of the eight suggested candidates; 30 percent did not give any opinion.
Mr Burnham was also the clear first choice among all voters to replace Sir Keir, despite the Prime Minister making it clear he was determined to lead Labor into the next election. But even if the Prime Minister is ousted, Mr Burnham is currently unable to stand in any Labor leadership contest because he is not an MP.
In a Labor Together poll of its own members, participants were asked to name the politicians who had “the best chance of delivering Labor an electoral victory at the next general election” compared to Sir Keir.
He was also asked to rank those likely to support him in the leadership race and asked for his views on a number of issues.
JL Partners surveyed 1,562 adults on December 13 and 14