Karl Rove gives his predictions for this week’s key races – including an upset

Veteran GOP Strategist Karl Rove offered their predictions ahead of major elections across the US on Tuesday – predicting at least one surprise.

talking to Fox News, Rove cements his place in the mayoral race new york city And in gubernatorial and down-ballot races new Jersey And Virginia.

“If I were a betting man, I’d say New Jersey may be upset“The former adviser to former President George W. Bush said on Nov. 1 Mediate,

In Virginia, he said Republicans were likely to suffer minimal losses, while in New York, he said the Democratic mayoral candidates were Zohran Mamdani Will emerge victorious.

The election – which has received high-profile support, including former President Barack Obama – Being closely monitored by political operatives.

These results will be seen as a gauge of the political mood of the President nearly a year into his tenure. donald trumpSecond term of.

Citing recent trends, Rove indicated that in New Jersey, Republican gubernatorial candidate Jack Ciattarelli, a former state representative, could prevail over Democratic candidate Representative Mickey Sherrill.

“Trump lost it [New Jersey] By 16 points in 2020,” he told fox news“Last time he lost by six points. So the first thing the Republican nominee needs to do is they have to move on the Trump bump.”

He said the GOP would likely gain seats in the state legislature.

in October 1st Quinnipiac University SurveySherrill led Ciattarelli, 51 percent to 43 percent.

In Virginia, Rove projected that Republican outgoing Attorney General Jason Miyares would defeat Democratic challenger Jay Jones and that GOP losses in the House of Representatives would be minimal.

He said that, in the race for governor, former Democratic Representative Abigail Spanberger is “far ahead” of Republican Lt. Gov. Winsom Earl-Sears.

one in november emerson college surveySpanberger held a comfortable 11-point lead over Earl-Sears, while Jones trailed Miyares by only 2 points.

“And in New York, we’re going to get the gift that keeps on giving,” Rove said, predicting that Mamdani would defeat former governor Andrew CuomoJoe is running as an independent candidate, and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa.

He said, “We will have a Democratic socialist mayor who wins in the low 50s or mid-50s in a city where 62% of eligible voters are registered Democrats, 22% are registered independents, and only 16% are Republicans, conservatives, or members of small, fringe, left-wing parties.”

Mamdani received support from 43 percent of respondents in October Quinnipiac PollWhile Cuomo and Sliwa trail behind with 33 percent and 14 percent, respectively.

Dozens of other states also go to the polls Tuesday, including California, where voters will decide whether to reapportion the state. congressional districts Before the 2026 midterms.