Despite the renewed threat of conflict, the government has no national plan to defend the UK or mobilize British people and industry in a war, Sky News has learned.

It has been revealed that officials are now starting to develop a cross-government “defence plan”.

Dr. Keith Deere, a former RAF intelligence officer and former national security, science and technology adviser to the Prime Minister, points out below that there is reason for the public to assume that there are detailed plans for any anticipated conflict.

Keith Dear
image:
Keith Dear

The US Secretary of State warned that we were “moving from a post-war world to a pre-war world” and that “in five years we may be looking at multiple theaters involving Russia, China, Iran and North Korea”.

chief of general staff, general Sir Patrick Saunders tells us We are the “pre-war generation”.

The public may therefore reasonably expect detailed plans, regularly updated, that will ensure that we are prepared in advance for these anticipated conflicts, which are expected to be larger and more intense than any of the recent memory wars. Fatal – a war we could lose.

Of course, government departments, Department of Defensethis work from homeDo the intelligence agencies and our armed forces have a plan that knows what to do at the outset, is structured to the requirements, and is able to respond quickly?

These plans are not only crucial to avoid confusion and early defeat, but they can also put our opponents in awe of our preparations, thereby preventing the fight from the start.

The problem is, there is no plan.

We had one once. The Central Government War Manual, maintained by the government until the early 2000s, wisely detailed plans for continuity of government in the event of war and possible nuclear exchange.

This was necessary so that those of us who survived would not be aware of the anarchy.

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The book also contains important plans for mobilizing the nation to respond to imminent threats and the outbreak of conventional, non-nuclear war.

Image: National Archives
image:
Image: National Archives

For this central government war book, a series of subordinate war books are developed and maintained by all departments – most notably the Ministry of Defence, Home Office and Ministry of Foreign Affairs – but even British Broadcasting Corporation There was a war book program to maintain broadcast communications to an anxious public.

These are not abstract and vague, but planned for specific, foreseeable wars we may face.

Today, there are no such plans.

The Government War Manual was written by the first modern pre-war generation (those who lived before 1918) under the leadership of former Royal Marine and First Cabinet Secretary Maurice Hankey.

The War Manual is interagency, detailing what, where and by whom needs to be done in the preparation for war into the “prevention phase” and into the “war phase” after war breaks out.

A copy of the Department of Defense’s 1963 war manual in the National Archives shows that it was detailed and comprehensive, citing multiple closely coordinated supporting programs inside and outside the government.

In 1935, the last pre-war generation was still worried about the possibility of war five years later. As a result, our government began to seriously update the war document.

Meanwhile, in 1935, Britain began to increase military and military-industrial preparations.

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For example, Scottish industrialist Lord Weir was appointed to oversee a plan he had earlier proposed to build a “shadow factory” near an automobile factory, ready to mass-produce aircraft in the event of war.

The government also thought more deeply, considering the need to be able to manufacture the machine tools on which the factories themselves depended, as well as those that could automate elements of manufacturing, to speed up rearmament efforts and to free men for other tasks during the war, and to invest accordingly public funds.

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After some hesitation, the government began implementing the pre-war “preventive phase” of the plan on August 23, 1939.

As of August 31, within a week, almost all preventive phase measures had been taken. War was declared a day later and the war phase began.

There are two warnings for today’s pre-war generation: the first comes from Coronavirusthen from Russia new invasion Ukraine.

The government’s response to the epidemic was without any plan worthy of the name and was mostly chaos for months, leaving us to imagine what it would be like if war broke out without a plan to mobilize and fight.

Likewise, our inability to provide Ukraine with adequate ammunition or weapons demonstrates how hollow we have become by purchasing and building our armed forces without a coherent battle plan. Weapons without ammunition are useless. We also don’t know if we have the right weapons.

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If the secretary of state’s war warning sounds alarmist, consider this: CIA director advises China Seeks to prepare for an invasion of Taiwan starting in 2027.

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The chairman of a U.S. House of Representatives select committee said 2027 may be the end, not the beginning, of the window during which Taiwan is most likely to be attacked.

A leaked internal memo shows that at least one four-star general in the U.S. Air Force expects war with China in 2025.In Europe, Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Karas sees Russia as possible threat NATOThe border is reached within three years.

Sweden’s Minister of Civil Defense and Commander-in-Chief warned that Sweden must now prepare for war.

Even in Japan, which until recently was highly pacifist, more than 86 percent of citizens surveyed believed their country might have to go to war, while their government doubled its defense budget.

The government will say there is a plan. Whitehall outlined a resilience framework, alert systems, risk registers and regular meetings.

What these things have in common is that none of them are what Hankey or any rational observer would consider a plan—an explanation of what we think is likely to happen, and specifically who needs to do what and when, in order to respond effectively.

The long-term, unconnected nature of various government artifacts illustrates their own vulnerabilities and promises what we need to do by 2030 and beyond. There is no plan for what to do if X or Y happens tomorrow.

If we are still five years away from war, it is worth considering the question Lord Weir posed to the last pre-war generation in 1935: “Have we done everything we ought to have done, by proper planning and arrangements, to prepare ourselves for the The severe delays that characterized our war. The almost fatal unpreparedness of 1914?”

Today, there are no plans. It’s hard to imagine how we could do less.

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