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Christmas housing market recession starts early as price growth ‘pauses’ in some areas

KANIKA SINGH RATHORE, 27/10/202527/10/2025

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Property website Zoopla has reported that the UK housing market is experiencing more of a slowdown than usual ahead of the festive period, with buyer demand and agreed sales down significantly from a year ago.

This annual decline has been exacerbated by a strong final quarter in 2024, as many rushed to complete sales before stamp duty rebates became less generous in April 2025.

Uncertainty over the autumn budget is also hampering agreed sales, particularly for homes priced over £500,000.

Some parts of the UK are seeing stronger sales than a year ago, such as Scotland, Yorkshire and the Humber south west and the West Midlands, Zoopla said.

But Wales, south eastEast of England and London Consensus is experiencing a particularly sharp slowdown in new sales, the website said.

Zoopla said house price growth in southern areas of England has “virtually ground to a halt”, limiting price rises.

But house price growth remains “strong” in areas including Scotland, Wales and the northern regions of England, it said. Northern Ireland has seen house prices rise by 7.6%.

Zoopla said the average time to find a buyer for a home is about 37 days, which increases to 45 days in London.

While the market for new business has started to slow, Zoopla estimates it has a pipeline of around 350,000 homes, worth more than £100 billion, that are working through the sales process.

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It said it was the largest pipeline in four years since May 2021, “when the pandemic surge was in full swing”.

The report said: “Stable mortgage rates have brought more sellers into the market, many of whom are buyers, along with strong demand from first-time buyers.”

The website used its own data to create sales pipeline estimates for the UK market.

The annual decline is exacerbated by a strong final quarter in 2024
The annual decline is exacerbated by a strong final quarter in 2024 ,PA Archive,

Zoopla’s home sales data covers the four weeks through October 19, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024. Its house price data goes back to the end of September 2025.

The index measures changes in home prices when sales are agreed, not by asking prices.

According to Zoopla, the annual increase or decrease in house prices across the UK in September is as follows:

Northern Ireland, 7.6%

North West, 3.0%

Scotland, 2.7%

North East, 2.3%

Wales, 2.2%

West Midlands, 2.1%

Yorkshire and the Humber, 1.9%

East Midlands, 1.2%

Eastern England, 0.8%

London, 0.1%

Southeast, 0.0%

South West, minus 0.1%

Richard Donnell, Executive Director of Zoopla, said: “The housing market is experiencing a slowdown in activity, but there are still serious sellers looking to buy a home and secure their next home purchase.

“Buying a home is a long process and there are record numbers of homes for sale, which means there are plenty of buyers looking for their next home. The downturn is modest and less severe than the impact of the 2022 mini-budget.

“It is early-stage buyers who are taking a cautious approach to new purchases ahead of the budget and those buying higher priced homes are being more cautious.

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“The housing market is on track to have the highest number of housing sales since 2022 and home prices are set to be 1% to 1.5% higher at the end of the year than at the beginning of 2025.”

Uk areasChristmasEarlygrowthHousingmarketPausespriceRecessionStarts

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