Analysis: Welfare may be the worst in all world for rebel
The Independent political correspondent Archie Michel Report:
Sir Kire Stmper is likely to avoid the defeat of a harmful commons on its profit cut. But the Prime Minister may face the worst of all the world.
Not only is he ready to face the biggest rebellion of his leadership, causing serious concerns about the long -term impact of his welfare reforms.
If they have warned by charity and campaigners, they are harmful, Sir Keer has scored only through rebellion to implement an intensive unpopular bill.
At the same time, he will spend the rest of his premiership with a taste for rebellion with backbenchers and he can force the PM’s hand when needed.
Sir Kir may dodge the defeat tonight, but the decline due to his welfare cuts is set to follow him for the rest of his premierership.
Ethena Strawu1 July 2025 09:19
Kalyan Rebellion distributes the opinion of readers
Sir Kir Stmper has inspired strong responses by dealing with labor welfare improvement schemes Independent The readers, many of which see the episode as a major examination of his leadership.
Under just a quarter (24 percent) said that the stormer was showing strength under pressure, while 16 percent realized that it was very early for the judge.
Some readers welcomed the latest amendments, listening to them as a sign. However, other people said that this process had highlighted the division within labor, and expressed concern about the tone of MPs’ response.
Ethena Strawu1 July 2025 09:09
What is happening in Commons today?
11:30 AM: Chancellors will face questions from MPs, including some welfare reforms.
12:40 pm: MPs will start a debate on the welfare bill of the government. There have been many Tibel amendments attempting to kill the reforms.
at 7 pm: The welfare bill is expected to have a vote.

Ethena Strawu1 July 2025 08:52
Labor MP: So many rebels prepared the bill to vote
The Independent political correspondent Archie Michel Report:
A major labor rebel has stated that the “many” MPs designed to vote for the cut in the profit of Sir Kir stormer have publicly signed to amend their debris.
The government’s long -time critic Rachel Mascel has made a new amendment that will kill welfare reforms on Tuesday when the Commonons supported.
It has 39 labor signatures so far (See the post at 8:21 am)But, talking to the BBC on Tuesday, he said: “There are many people who have said that they are done with logical amendments and are going to come and vote in that bill.
“So many people say that it is not the right thing to do, it is not a labor thing.”
Ms. Maskel said that the “load more” people opposing the government have signed up for her amendment.
He said, “I engaged with so many people yesterday who said that I am not signing your logical amendment, but I am voting for the bill,” he insisted.

Ethena Strawu1 July 2025 08:39
Exclusive: Trans charity demands an inquiry in EHRC following the Supreme Court’s decision on the penis
Ethena Strawu1 July 2025 08:37
How many labor MPs can be rebellious?
The government will work throughout the day to reduce and reduce the rebellion against its welfare reforms.
However, dozens of labor MPs are still likely to vote against its profit cut bill.
While the exact number is unknown, the “debris modification” mentioned in Tuesday’s parliamentary order paper has been signed by 39 Labor MPs.
The amendment was laid forward by York Central MP Rachel Maskal.
The 39 labor signature is less than 83 to reverse the majority of Sir Keir, but is enough to give the biggest rebellion of its premierership just before the first anniversary of the Labor’s election win.

This is a much less number than 127 which signed an amendment last week which would have completely stopped the progress of the bill.
It reduces about 50 the following concessions made by the government.
Ethena Strawu1 July 2025 08:21
Minister urged labor MPs to return the bill
Jonathan Reynolds urged Labor MPs to urge to bring back welfare reforms amid a rebellious rebellion, the government emphasized “strong status” compared to the previous week after giving concessions on its plans.
Asked what will be the results for backbenchers that reject the bill, the Business Secretary told Sky News that “what they want from this process had a positive conversation with colleagues about it.
He said that everyone wants to be the most vulnerable and “I think we have worked with people.”
He said, “I would ask them to support the government on the basis, because what we have clearly found is something that is better than the current system.”
Asked if the MPs would lose whip for voting against the government, he said “he knew anything like that” but “those issues are for the main whip”.

Ethena Strawu1 July 2025 08:12
Government accused of creating ‘welfare welfare system’
The government is facing allegations that their new welfare reforms will create a level system among the disabled communities.
In the Commons tomorrow, Welfare and Pension Minister Liz Kendal was asked several times whether the improvement would be made “two-level system”.
Changes will see that the existing contenders continue to achieve their current allowances, while the new contenders will be subject to tight eligibility.
Meanwhile, a government review will be launched with the possibility of further changes as a result of its proposals, keeping in mind the views of people with disabilities.
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Jonathan Reynolds has rejected the suggestions that government welfare reforms will create a “three-level” system, saying that it is “completely normal” for existing rights to be “grandfather”.
When asked about the suggestions, the Business Secretary told Sky News: “I have seen these claims, I do not accept it.
“This is completely normal when we have significant changes in the welfare state, the existing antiglles grandfather -grandfather.
“There are people in Britain who are receiving seriously disabled allowance. It is quite common for new entrances in 2001. So it is quite common.”
Ethena Strawu1 July 2025 07:54
‘We have to face difficult issues’: Minister
Jonathan Reynolds said that the government’s welfare proposal is much better than “what we have in the minute”.
The Business Secretary told Times Radio: “I think we have to face difficult issues first, what this government was selected to do.
“I agree that this is a difficult issue, but I think if you avoid difficult issues you end up in a very worse situation. We have seen this incredible increase in the money spent on the pip – it has doubled in five years. I don’t think it is a great extent that is very less poverty, by the way.”

He said: “If you see where we are today, we have a set of proposals that we have far better than minutes, in terms of Tims review, it has a real co-production in its heart that is going to take it forward and some are really important things.
“We have protected the weakest people, with people with serious health conditions, who have the right to try, to improve access to people with disabilities.
“This overall package is better and ensures that we are spending money correctly.”
Ethena Strawu1 July 2025 07:42
Starmer’s profit cut still pushes 150,000 poverty, government accepted
One of the main reasons will Labor MPs to revolt against the bill, how will it affect poverty in the UK due to its assessment of the government.
As a result of the government’s welfare deduction – despite the softening of the bill, about 150,000 people will be pushed into poverty by 2030.

This figure is below 250,000 additional people left in relative poverty after housing cost under original proposals.
Modeling published by the department for work and pension said that there is no “potential positive effect” from additional funding and measures to work with disabled people and long -term health conditions.
Work and Pension Secretary Liz Kendal announced last week that the change in personal freedom payment (PIP) would be applicable only to new contenders from November 2026, and the ministers also returned 126 labor MPs to the plan to cut the health related element related to the health of the universal credit after signing an amendment, which would effectively kill the government’s bill.
Ethena Strawu1 July 2025 07:27