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Who rose, who sank: Understanding the shift in power in Bihar’s 2025 mandate.

Justin, 14/11/202514/11/2025

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New Delhi, November 14 (IANS) The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is heading towards one of its most decisive victories in two decades as the counting of votes continues for the Bihar Assembly elections.

After crossing the 200-seat mark in the 243-member House, the NDA has not only strengthened its position but also surpassed its strong performance of 2010.

Here’s a look at the major winners and losers:

big winners

Nitish Kumar

After being in power for almost two decades, Chief Minister Nitish Kumar has successfully overcome anti-incumbency pressures. His Janata Dal (United) is leading in more than 80 seats, contributing significantly to the NDA’s broad mandate.

The result secured Kumar a fifth term as chief minister and halted the opposition’s attempt – particularly that of Tejashwi Yadav – to project a “youth versus experience” narrative in Bihar.

Chirag Paswan

One of the biggest comeback stories of this election is Chirag Paswan. After winning only one seat in 2020, his Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) converted its nearly 6 per cent vote share into a remarkable performance, winning 22 of the 29 seats it contested.

Chirag’s appeal among Dalits and young voters along with Paswan’s strong consolidation of votes has significantly increased his political stature within the NDA.

Asaduddin Owaisi and AIMIM

Asaduddin Owaisi-led All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) has put up another strong performance in the Seemanchal region, where its influence continues to grow.

AIMIM won five seats — Jokihat (Araria), Kochadhaman (Kishanganj), Amour (Purnea), Bahadurganj and Baisi (Purnea). These are the same constituencies it had secured in the 2020 elections, reflecting a firm hold on its support base.

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HAM and RLM

NDA’s smaller allies have increased their weight. Jitan Ram Manjhi’s Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM) won five of the six seats it contested, while Upendra Kushwaha’s Rashtriya Lok Morcha (RLM) was ahead on four seats.

The strong performance of these allies played an important role in the NDA crossing the 200 seat threshold.

big loser

RID of TJamas

Despite being projected as the opposition’s chief ministerial face, Tejashwi Yadav failed to convert the anti-incumbency wave into electoral gains – even as he comfortably retained his Raghopur seat.

RJD’s tally of just 25 seats is slightly better than its performance in 2010, when it had won only 22 seats.

After gaining momentum in 2020, the party’s decline in 2025 dealt a big blow to Tejashwi’s political career.

Rahul Gandhi and Congress

Congress once again failed to make an impact in Bihar and was reduced to single digit seats.

Despite Rahul Gandhi’s “Voter Adhikar Yatra”, allegations of “vote theft” and criticism of the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) exercise, the party struggled to connect with voters.

The result continues the decline seen in 2020, when the Congress contested 70 seats but won just 19, weakening the grand alliance’s chances.

This time it contested elections on 61 seats and won three and was ahead on only three.

Prashant Kishor

Political strategist turned activist Prashant Kishor, who is credited with helping many political parties win elections, finds himself one of the most prominent losers.

Despite two years of padyatra and high visibility, his Jan Suraj Manch failed to register any electoral impact – garnering less votes than NOTA in many seats.

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His development-focused pitch failed to resonate, and his decision not to contest seats created confusion about the direction of the movement.

Mukesh Sahni

Mukesh Sahni, projected as a key player in the Seemanchal region – named as the deputy CM face of the Grand Alliance after tough negotiations – failed to deliver results. His Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) could not convert caste-based mobilization into concrete gains.

It appears that the Nishad (fisherman) vote, which he wanted to consolidate, has swung decisively towards the NDA, attracted by targeted welfare assurances.

–IANS

skp/and

India News AIMIMBihar Assembly ElectionsChirag Paswancongresselection resultsNDA's victoryNitish Kumarpolitical analysisPrashant KishorRahul GandhiRJDtejashwi yadav

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