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On Wednesday the weather agency said that south west monsoon It is in its final stages of withdrawal and is likely to completely retreat from the rest of the country in the next few days. Meanwhile, north-east monsoon is also expected to advance over south-eastern peninsular region during the next two days.
“Conditions are favorable for further withdrawal to the southwest monsoon From the rest of the country during the next two days. Along with establishment of easterly and northeasterly winds over southern Peninsular India and south and adjoining central Bay of Bengal, northeast monsoon rainfall activity is likely to commence over southeast Peninsular region during the same period, the IMD said.
IMD has predicted clear sky in Delhi
For Delhi, the IMD has predicted fog or mist in the morning, after which the sky will remain mainly clear till October 18. The weather forecast for Delhi indicates the maximum temperature to be around 32-3 degrees Celsius and the minimum to be around 18-20 degrees Celsius.
Rain forecast in South India
Light to moderate rain and thundershowers are expected over southern peninsular India till October 20, with isolated heavy falls.
Meanwhile, Southwest is retreating monsoon gives way to the coming northeasterly monsoon In the coming days.
Specifically, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Mahe should prepare for possible isolated heavy rainfall during the entire period, while similar conditions are expected for Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam and Rayalaseema on October 15 and 16 and Lakshadweep from October 16 to 18.
The entire region will experience thunderstorms with lightning and gusty winds reaching 30-40 kmph during the next 4-5 days.
Thunderstorm, lightning in other states
In its bulletin, the IMD also predicted thunderstorm, lightning and gusty winds over many areas of East, Central and West India. Over eastern and central India, Odisha is expected to receive thunderstorms with lightning and gusty winds (30-40 kmph) on October 15 and 16, while Vidarbha will see lightning during the same period. There is a possibility of lightning in Madhya Pradesh also on 16th and 17th October.
In Western India, thunderstorms accompanied with lightning are likely over Central Maharashtra, Konkan and Goa till October 17, with similar conditions forecast over Marathwada on October 15 and 16.
Due to La Nina, it will be colder across India this year
According to experts, La Nina may cause cold winters in North India. It may also result in cold waves and heavy snowfall in hilly areas.
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said, “La Niña conditions emerged in September 2025… In short, La Niña conditions are present and likely to persist through December 2025–February 2026.”
It is likely to persist throughout the winter, with a 55% chance of returning to neutral conditions between January and March 2026. The NWS also said that due to the expected weakness of this La Niña, “traditional winter impacts will be less likely.”
La Niña is part of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), often referred to as its ‘cold phase’. It occurs when ocean temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific drop below average, altering global atmospheric patterns.