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The IMD has also predicted thunderstorms with lightning over Konkan, Goa and Madhya Maharashtra till October 20. Additionally, a low pressure area is likely to form over south-east Arabian Sea and Lakshadweep area around October 19, which may potentially intensify rainfall.
low pressure area over the arabian sea
Due to the cyclonic circulation of upper air, a low pressure area is likely to form over the southeast Arabian Sea and Lakshadweep area, off the Kerala and Karnataka coasts, around October 18.
The system is expected to move west-northwestwards and strengthen into a depression within the next 48 hours.
The south-west monsoon has withdrawn
In a significant weather development, the weather agency announced the complete withdrawal of south-west monsoon from the entire country. “South-west monsoon has withdrawn from the entire country today, October 16, 2025,” according to the IMD bulletin.
As the southwest monsoon comes to an end, the northeast monsoon has already started influencing the weather patterns over southern parts of India.
Heavy rain in Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Mahe
Very heavy rainfall has been predicted over the region including Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Lakshadweep for the next few days.
Light to moderate rain and squall is likely over many areas of South Peninsular India between October 17 and 23, with isolated heavy rainfall over Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Mahe during this period.
Very heavy rainfall is predicted especially over Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Lakshadweep on October 17. Heavy rainfall is also likely over isolated parts of South Interior Karnataka and Coastal Karnataka, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam and Rayalaseema from October 17 to 19.
Thunderstorm with lightning is also forecast in the entire area in the next five days.
Delhi NCR weather forecast
For Delhi, the IMD has predicted clear skies for the next few days, with morning mist or fog also expected to persist over the region.
The maximum temperature in the national capital is expected to be between 32-34 degrees Celsius and the minimum temperature is expected to be between 17 to 19 degrees Celsius.
Unexpected rain in Mumbai
Light to moderate rain occurred in many parts of Mumbai on Thursday night (October 16). Mumbai was on green alert, with indications of moderate rainfall at isolated places, according to the IMD Nowcast warning issued at an interval of three hours daily.
Rain was reported in many areas including Dadar, Bandra and Goregaon in the western suburbs as well as Ghatkopar, Chembur and Vikhroli in the eastern suburbs. According to IMD, there are more chances of rain in eastern parts of Mumbai.