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Top secret US report warns US forces will be heavily defeated by China

KANIKA SINGH RATHORE, 11/12/202511/12/2025

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Most likely to face defeat at the hands of American forces China If an attempt is made to do so intervene in war Above taiwana top secret pentagon The assessment report found.

pentagon War games simulating Chinese invasion The highly classified document, “Overmatch Brief”, warns that Taiwan has shown Beijing can cripple US fighter squadrons, major warships and even satellite networks before they can be effectively deployed.

The document, prepared by the Pentagon’s Office of Net Assessment, shows that America’s reliance on advanced and expensive weapons makes it vulnerable to China’s rapidly producing cheap weapons. new York Times.

Report Warned that China has developed the capability to neutralize key US assets early in the conflict.

This comes days after Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun warned the US to “handle the Taiwan issue with utmost discretion.”

Report, recently submitted to senior white House China’s rapidly maturing arsenal — particularly its long-range precision missiles, expanding fleet of advanced aircraft, large surface ships and its counter-space capabilities — now puts the U.S. military at a significant operational disadvantage in the region, officials said.

The report said China has amassed an arsenal of about 600 hypersonic weapons, which “can travel at five times the speed of sound and are difficult to intercept”. The Office of Net Assessment is a state agency that serves as the Pentagon’s internal think tank.

'Robot wolves' seen working in sandy environment during Chinese military exercises

‘Robot wolves’ seen working in sandy environment during Chinese military exercises ,China Central Television,

When a senior Biden national security official received an “overmatch” brief in 2021, he turned “pale” after realizing that “no matter what tactics we employed, the Chinese had overmatch after overmatch”, said one official who was there. Now,

China regards Taiwan as its inalienable part and insists that the island of 23 million people be eventually integrated with the mainland – by force if necessary.

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However, Taiwan considers itself a sovereign, independent country and says any changes to Taiwan’s status should be decided democratically by its 23 million people, and not imposed by China.

Although China has not given any time frame for the invasion of Taiwan, assessments and intelligence from Western powers claim that China may begin efforts for this Take Taiwan around 2027 – A timeline that matches Xi Jinping’s military modernization goals.

A screen displays a map by Taiwan's Defense Ministry showing the locations of China's ballistic missiles during a press conference in Taipei on 23 January 2007.

A screen displays a map by Taiwan’s Defense Ministry showing the locations of China’s ballistic missiles during a press conference in Taipei on 23 January 2007. ,AFP/Getty,

The report said China could use missiles collected over the past 20 years to destroy many US advanced weapons, such as aircraft carriers, before they could reach Taiwan.

The assessment said that in war games that simulate battlefield scenarios, even the latest US Navy carrier is often not able to withstand an attack.

The report gives an example of the latest incident in America USS Gerald R. fordBuilt at a cost of $13 billion and deployed in 2022. Despite new technologies, including more advanced nuclear reactors, the carrier would be unable to survive a Chinese attack.

Ford, which would be effective against weaker powers such as Venezuela, is “fatally vulnerable to new forms of attack”, it said.

The report also draws from real-world examples as Western weapons testing continues on the battlefield in Ukraine against Russia and America’s adversaries learn about shortcomings and strengths.

“The war in Ukraine has shown how vulnerable tanks have become,” it said.

Drones and other armament formations pass during a military parade to commemorate the 80th anniversary of the end of World War II, held in front of Tiananmen Gate in Beijing on Wednesday, Sept. 3, 2025.

Drones and other armament formations pass during a military parade to commemorate the 80th anniversary of the end of World War II, held in front of Tiananmen Gate in Beijing on Wednesday, Sept. 3, 2025. ,by Xinhua,

The assessment also warned that the US no longer has the industrial capacity to produce arms and ammunition at the pace and scale required for a prolonged conflict with a major power.

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It says Washington is lagging behind Beijing and Moscow in rapidly developing advanced weapons because it is “overly dependent on expensive and vulnerable weapons”.

First, pete hegsethThe Secretary of Defense said of the Pentagon’s war games against China, “we lose every time” and predicted that China’s hypersonic missiles could easily destroy aircraft carriers within minutes.

It says the US is vulnerable because its missile stockpile is already strained due to its support for Israel and Ukraine.

National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan had already warned that the US would soon run out of vital war materials in a war with China.

Internal Pentagon assessments indicate that China now surpasses the US in almost every category of cruise and ballistic missiles, even though both countries have about 400 intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs).

It has also been reported that Washington spent about a quarter of its high-altitude missile interceptors defending Israel during the Iran attack. 12-day ballistic missile barrage in June.

Independent The Pentagon and the US State Department have been contacted for comment.

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