Lack of serious employees means that the unbridled probation service cannot safely monitor prisoners in the community under new schemes to free prison places, senior data warns.
One in Review ordered by justice secretary Shabana was boiled in the office during his first days as a prison crisis as Mahmud, her Tory was preceding, David Gauk Advised Extract many prisoners one -third of their punishment And the judges are asking people to avoid going to jail for less than a year in favor of community sentences.
While the schemes have been widely welcomed, concerns have increased how the pressure has been Probation service Will face the influx of new criminals to manage.
Ms. Mahmud is Most proposals are expected to acceptBut former justice secretary sir Robert Buckland Concern expressed that plans can only “move a gel-based problem in the community”.
And the Probation Union Nepo warned that now there was a “significant window” for employees and their good at the place “massive, large -scale pressure” on a service. Already in “chaos”,
Given the report as “the most important review of the punishment policy in at least one generation”, Napo chief Ian Lawrence said: “But the problem that the government has now is, if it is, if the government is now, if Prisoners Are complete, so there is probation service.
“And our Ability to process more people Large scale, are going to be put under pressure in the community … to maintain the trust of the employees without doing anything. This means paying people so that they do not leave just, Because people [have had] Sufficient Current charge status. ,
The most recent official figures suggest a shortage of about 1,500 probation officers below the recommended staffing level of 7,115.
Mr. Lawrence warned that this goal could reduce the true need.
The ministers vow to recruit another 1,300 officers by March 2026 and while the probation service increased by 610 employees in March, more than 2,000 employees – about 10 percent – left in the same period. Forty percent of probation officers left with at least 10 years of experience, analysis by analysis Independent found.
Asked whether he believes that he believes that there are enough employees to safely implement improvements in probation service, Mr. Lawrence said: “Surely not now.”

Warning that probation officers are “working with score and score – hundreds – recall criminals every week, who are just increasing the ability of the people to face the wire”, he said that the number of employees was forced to take in the days of illness “very worrying”. Official figures show that by March more than 273,000 days were lost to the disease by March, almost one -third more, show official figures.
Prominent to be understood with many areas for years, HM Chief Inspector Martin Jones warned last year that 30 of 31 local probationary units were inspected in 2022-23 last year. Either “insufficient” or “need to improve” was judged,
A sick probation service can have fatal consequences, with major failures identified Zara Alena’s murders And One Terry Harris and three of his children in Kilmarsh Last year.
Independent Informed in November For crimes, including murder, rape and severe violence, the number of pre-misconducts compared to the previous year accused of completing serious crimes, which reached a record high of 770 compared to the previous year.
While he praised Mr. Gauk on a large scale, former Justice Secretary of Tory Sir Robert Buckland warned until more resources are supported than the Treasury, “I worry that we are going to transfer a gel-based problem to the community.
Sir Robert said: “If it is not properly revived, then my concern is that supervision failures, further crimes and essentials will be the major public concern and political pressure to change the course.”
“Now what we need is a very stable policy environment, so that the prosecution service can actually be revived to achieve with a growing role, under this system.”

Also roughly supports measures and praises Mr. Gauk’s assessment We can’t move just as we are Without doing some radicals ”, former justice committee chairman Sir Bob Neel Warned that £ 700m on Thursday announced the increase in service to “united” service.
He said: “What you do for Rachel Reeves is’ It is a classic case of investment to save, because eventually spending too much on probation is going to be less than both the capital and revenue costs of more prison places.”
With the hope of spending on a major expansion of tagging and monitoring capabilities, Sir Bob appreciated Mr. Gauk’s call for “stricting community punishments as a prison alternative”.
But warned that probation “is a bit of Cinderella [service] For a very long time, Sir Bob said: “There should be a proper workforce strategy for probation service, a push on recruitment, better training and probation work should be a concrete effort to increase the status of work.”