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How can an unexpected winner in US -China trade war – India

Arun Jain, 17/04/2025


New Delhi:

Amid the increasing tariff attack on US President Donald Trump’s growing tariff attack on Beijing, the Chinese firms are giving priority to the Indian market by following local conditions. So far, Chinese exports to the US face a “mutual” tariff of 245 percent – while India, with everyone else, is exempted for 90 days.

India have taken several steps to win over Trump, including pledge to buy more energy and buy energy products. India is also on track to sign a business deal with the US, with the aim of obtaining $ 500 billion in bilateral trade by 2030. With Hamstrang, the world’s largest manufacturer in the world’s largest market, India can emerge as an attractive option- and Chinese manufacturers may understand this.

China eyes Indian market

The trade relationship between New Delhi and Beijing has cooled down since the 2020 border violence. However, the American tariffs were increased to persuasion, Chinese veterans such as Shanghai High Group and Higher allegedly agreed to maintain just a minority stake in joint ventures, something that they were not curious.

According to an Economic Times report, one of China’s largest compressor manufacturers, Shanghai has resumed conversation with Tata -owned Voltas for a manufacturing joint venture. Initially designed as a 60:40 joint venture, in which Voltus had a minority stake, leaving the scheme last year due to lack of government approval by the Indian side.

The ET report said that the Chinese firm now agrees to a minority stake, people know about the developments.

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In addition, Shanghai has also formed a technical cooperation-to create AC compressors with some equity clause with PG Electroplast, under which it agreed to share the technology. Under the agreement, the plant near PG Pune. Installing for 350 crores.

Another Dragon Major, Higher, who holds the third largest stake in the Indian electronics market by sale, has also agreed to quit its majority stake in local operations.

Higher wanted to launch a minority stake of up to 26 percent for a strategic partner, as a rift on the government’s foreign direct investment (FDI) from China has emerged as an obstacle to expand its business in India. According to the criteria, any FDI needs government approval from a unit in a country sharing its land border with India.

Industry officials said the process of stake was delayed, but now Higher has restored talks up to 51–55 percent with several Indian companies and private equity funds.

Can India emerge as the winner in the trade war

To make the products very expensive from China in the US with Trump’s tariff, Chinese firms do not want to kill even a wall in India. Experts say that Chinese business is now more inclined to fulfill the terms of New Delhi to continue its business in India- a large market with the scope of export under Tariff regime.

“There is a complete change in the attitude of Chinese companies, which is now extremely comfortable for minority ownership in the Indian joint venture or create a technical alliance,” said Rajesh Aggarwal, director of God products, a telecom and electronics contract manufacturer, said, “said Rajesh Aggarwal, director of God products.

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Another advantage of transferring production in India is the recently announced production-linked incentive scheme of the government for electronic components, which will make the cost-cost-cost of production compared to China.

Meanwhile, the Government of India appears to confiscate the moment and is allegedly considering the possibility of allowing Chinese electronics firms to invest in the country on a selective basis and can clean the joint enterprises with them if they have minority ownership or need a new technology to increase local production.



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