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timeHe proposed to king charles iii July 4th, in the Rose Garden White House – Commemorating the 250th anniversary of the United States’ Declaration of Independence is of great significance.
and Donald Trump In the process of imposing new tariffs Greenland and re-posed a threat to other allies with few means Sir Keir Starmer You can persuade the President of the United States to reason.
But this year’s royal visit may be the only means now available to prevent this. International crises are no longer out of control.
If Britain holds one card in its dealings with Trump, it’s the royal family.
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President Trump revers the British royal family and the symbols of power that come with it, in part because his late mother was from Scotland.
It is well known that senior royals in particular are essentially extensions of the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO), especially in their cautious dealings with the mercurial 47th President of the United States.
Sir Keir has appointed Prince William as a key intermediary with the US president. The relationship began in late 2024, just before Trump’s inauguration, when he and William met in Paris before Notre Dame reopened.
Since then, the prince and the president have spoken regularly, independent has been told – even more than Trump said to Starmer.
But most importantly it was the pageantry. One of the reasons Sir Keir was able to overtake the EU in striking a trade deal after Trump imposed tariffs was Trump’s historic second state visit to the UK.
He may now regret the appointment, but the prospect of a state visit also ensured Trump did not turn down Starmer’s first choice ambassador to the US, Lord Mandelson.
The state visit became a golden carrot for the president to focus on and tell those around him that he didn’t want to go wrong in any way.
Therefore, Trump made it clear that he did not want anything to interfere with the process and was willing to be more submissive to the UK.
In the process, this gave Starmer the space to build a relationship with the US president and earn his international status as a “Trump whisperer”.
Going forward, plans to send the king or the Prince of Wales for a state visit on July 4, the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence, may be even more important to Trump and his perceived legacy.
Therefore, the visit and whether it continues will be of great significance as diplomatic tensions rise and the threat of tariffs mounts.
If the UK goes into recession due to Trump’s tariffs and the NATO alliance collapses over the US president’s demands for Greenland, it seems unlikely that senior royals will stand up and essentially give the US president their blessing.
Of course, it would be an interesting irony if the British monarch refused to take part in events commemorating the revolutionaries who ended the reign of his predecessor, George III.
But even at this stage, the threat that the visit might not happen is enough to deter Trump.
But there are risks. Trump is not a man who accepts being slighted. If the royal state visit is cancelled, he will take it personally and things could get worse.
Moreover, wielding royal power over Trump does not seem to do much to solve international problems such as Ukraine or the Middle East.
As ever, Sir Keir has a difficult tightrope to walk amid the diplomatic turmoil of the Trump presidency.