Could Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize – and who nominated him?

chairman Donald Trump Waiting to hear if his dream will come true this week – whether his nomination for Nobel Peace Prize Becomes a reality.

He doesn’t have much time to catch up – the announcement will be made on Friday.

their people campaign for praise Started with a joke in 2018: “Everyone thinks so but I would never say it,” he said possible nomination“The reward I want is to win for the world.”

Five years later, his stance had changed to “I deserve it, but they will never give it to me” when asked about it after meeting the Israeli Prime Minister in February this year. benjamin netanyahu and “I should have gotten it four or five times” when quizzed in June.

but despite Voting suggestion otherwise, East apprentice The star is a contender for the prize, which its creator Alfred Nobel said should be awarded to the person who “has done the most or the best work for fraternity among nations, for the abolition or reduction of standing armies and for the holding and promotion of peace congresses”.

Fanduel, one of the largest US betting companies, has backed Trump against bookies’ favorite Yulia Navalnya (wife of Russian dissident Alexei Navalny) and aid organization Sudan’s emergency response chambers.

Who nominated Trump?

Many people and many organizations.

netanyahu, government PakistanThe Cambodian government and American politician Buddy Carter were among those who put forward names for president this year.

A senior Ukrainian politician nominated Trump, only to withdraw the suggestion in June this year and accuse the president of appeasement Vladimir Putin,

Can he win?

The Nobel committee is made up of five people, most of whom have been publicly critical of Trump.

However, its judging criteria are not straightforward and may serve a symbolic or “geopolitical” purpose as well as reward actual achievements and results.

“The trouble with the criteria is that it is too abstract,” says Professor Matthew Mokhef-Aston, principal lecturer in politics and international relations at Nottingham Trent University.

He points to “aspirational” awards given to Barack Obama, who won the award in 2009, before his first year in office, purely on the back of his election campaign. This led to the Nobel Secretary later admitting that the former President’s win was a “mistake”.

Other controversial and notable Nobel laureates include American diplomat and former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger for his role in ending the Vietnam War in 1973, although he was also accused of war crimes. “Political satire became obsolete when Henry Kissinger won Nobel Peace Prize” said American musician, satirist and mathematician Tom Lehrer of his victory.

“In a world where that could happen, then I think it’s possible for Trump to win Nobel Peace Prize” Professor Mokhef-Ashton says, noting that Trump is very focused on “legacy”.

The Forum of Families of Hostages and the Missing, representing relatives of the majority of Israeli hostages held by Hamas, called on the committee to give the award to Trump, saying he had “brought us light through our darkest times”.

But Theo Zenou, a historian and research fellow at the Henry Jackson Society, said he wouldn’t bet on Trump winning.

“Trump has been incredibly vocal about his desire, his lust, for a peace prize. He says he ‘deserves one’, it would be a ‘travesty’ if he doesn’t and so on. This extreme entitlement will not please the committee,” he says.

“They don’t want to give in to pressure or caving in at Bravo. They usually like people whose work speaks for itself. You don’t get an Oscar for best actor saying you gave the best performance, you let your work speak for itself”.

Furthermore, he points to Trump’s claim that he has “ended seven wars”, an oft-repeated phrase that has been handled with skepticism by his critics. Last month, the US State Department listed seven wars the “Peace President” had ended “in just seven months”. They included: Cambodia and Thailand, Kosovo and Serbia, Pakistan and India, DRC and Rwanda, Egypt and Ethiopia, Armenia and Azerbaijan.

“Trump has a very clear definition of peace, which he thinks peace is the absence of fighting, the absence of people shooting at each other with machine guns, but obviously that’s not what peace is,” Mr. Zenou says, citing the example of Iran and israelThe ongoing hostilities, which he says can be said to have ended after the end of 12 days of fighting.

“There are many conflicts that ebb and flow and it takes a long time to achieve real peace.”

Professor Mokhef-Ashton says the committee will look for evidence of a “durable peace” and not feel like they “jumped the gun”.

Another issue for Trump is time

With nominations for the awards concluding in January, not all of the nominations she received this year will count toward the awards announced on Friday. Furthermore, the full details of the nomination were not revealed for another 50 years, so it is not possible to know how popular her nomination was.

Many of his peace deals are still ongoing. “It is not possible for someone to make a deal for the Nobel Peace Prize that has only started last week,” Mr. Zeunou said of the ongoing Israel-Hamas talks, brokered by the United States, Qatar and Egypt.

Climate change denial may prove controversial

They say Trump’s comments last week denying the climate crisis will also be considered controversial.

“The Nobel committee may think he has some potential advantage in winning the prize,” he says. “It may be transactional, for example with the intention that it may encourage him to support ukraine More. But if it does it as a geopolitical calculation, it will take a lot of its shine off, with every world leader trying to do the same thing. ,

“Trump has beaten the odds by doing things that no one would have thought possible,” says Prof Mokfe-Aston.

That doesn’t mean he won’t run again next year, Professor Mokhef-Ashton said, adding that Trump is much more of a long-term planner than people give him credit for. A loss this year won’t mean a forever loss for him, and he’s unlikely to give up.

“People underestimate him, and the people who are going against him have absolutely failed for that reason,” he says.