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Many exit polls have predicted Jan Suraj to get between 0 to 5 seats in the 243-member assembly.
In the News18 mega exit poll, the ruling National Democratic Alliance is estimated to get 140 to 150 seats, which will comfortably cross the half mark. The MGB alliance is likely to win 85 to 95 seats, emerging as a strong but distant second. There is likely to be limited impact on smaller players. JSP is projected to win 0-5 seats, while others may get 5-10 seats.
Most surveys predict the NDA will comfortably cross the half-mark, with seat estimates ranging from 130 to 167. However, the Indian faction is displaying significant strength with projections between 70 and 108 seats, indicating tight competition in several key constituencies.
The results will be declared on November 14 (Friday) to decide whether JDU president and longest-serving chief minister Nitish Kumar secures another term or his former deputy Tejashwi Yadav takes charge.
If the exit poll proves true then NDA will return to power and Tejashwi will lead the opposition in the assembly. And the JSP will have to rethink its strategy in the politically important state that sends 40 MPs to the Lok Sabha.
voter turnout
On November 11, voting for the two-phase elections in Bihar was completed and the state witnessed a record-breaking turnout of nearly 69% in the second and final phase of assembly elections. In the first phase, on November 6, 65.09% of the 3.75 crore voters cast their votes in 121 constituencies.
The state also recorded the highest female voter turnout in its history. Female turnout in the second phase was 74.03%, which was significantly higher than that of males (64.1%). Women had outnumbered men in the first phase too, with 71.6% female voters compared to 62.8% male voters.