Things are going strong for Joe Biden — strong economy, falling inflation, falling crime fall Donald Trump is about to stand trial on criminal charges in New York, and the US president hopes to see rewards in the polls.
Finally, it might be coming.
Biden has made significant gains over the past month in six of the seven battleground states that could decide the outcome of the 2024 election. Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll released Tuesday.
US political website Axios pointed out that for the first time in months, swing state polls show a close distance between Biden and Trump.
The Democrat went against tradition and took a big gamble. $30M for ad blitz and appearances in battleground statesexpenditure ratio Trump and Obama’s re-election campaigns. It seems to be paying off.
The survey comes as Biden tours swing states and some Democrats are beginning to predict that his investments in Rust Belt economies are paying off.
The US president also won plaudits for his tough performance states of the union delivered a speech and launched a series of pointed attacks on his Republican opponents.
“The White House must breathe a sigh of relief as new polls show Biden overtaking Trump in key battleground states,” said Thomas Gift, director of the Center for American Politics at University College London.
“Part of that may be the delayed backlash from the State of the Union address, in which Biden delivered a performance that defied some critics’ attempts to paint him as a senile old man.”
While Biden’s numbers appear to be trending in the right direction, polls show he still has work to do in most, if not all, of the seven battleground states.
Early in the campaign, his position still appears weaker than in 2020, when he consistently led Trump in national and swing state polls.
The latest polls show Biden regaining a 1-point lead in Wisconsin this month, 46% to 45 points. The president is currently tied 45-45 with Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan.
Biden moved even closer in Nevada, trailing Trump 46 to 44 — well within the state’s poll’s margin of error. Despite Biden’s gains, Trump maintained a 5-point lead in Arizona (43-48) and a 6-point lead in North Carolina (43-49).
The former president’s lead only widened in Georgia, where the survey showed him leading by 7 points (42-49), up from 6 points last month.
Todd Belt, a professor of political science at George Washington University, warned that reports of poll changes are “all within the margin of error.”
Still, he said he saw positive signs for Biden. “There’s a trend here, and I think it has to do with the fact that people have woken up to the fact that Trump is going to be the nominee, and that scares a lot of people,” he said.
“I think it has more to do with the threat that Trump poses — which has been a linchpin of Biden’s campaign.”
However, ominously, Bloomberg Polls confirm that third-party and independent candidates — especially Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — could split the mainstream vote and pose a real risk to Biden.
Across all battleground states, Trump led Biden 47 to 43 in March, a slightly narrower lead than last month. But if other candidates are included, Trump’s lead widened by one percentage point in March, to 43 to 38. Kennedy received 9 percent of the vote.
However, Professor Belt said the 2024 election was still in its early stages. “As the campaign progresses, people will consider not voting or voting for a third party, but when the choice becomes clear, they ‘go back’ to the candidate closer to them,” he said.
Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg tweeted on Tuesday: “The Biden collision is real.“
he tell nbc “Large numbers of voters are not yet registered” and “some of Biden’s allies are still hanging around,” so surveys show he’s struggling among young, black and Hispanic voters. He predicted Biden’s polling numbers would improve by “late spring” — around April or May.
this Bloomberg/Morning Consult Researchers find voters remain pessimistic about the national economy but increasingly optimistic about their local economy: 53% say their city or town’s economy is moving in the right direction — in the past That’s an increase of 4 percentage points in one month.
Other polls conducted in March showed Biden leading Trump nationally.These include Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University polling Survey conducted March 15-17 showed 47% of likely voters would support Biden, compared with 45%; and Reuters/Ipsos, March 7-13 opinion poll Shows Biden leading by one point.
According to statistics, as of Sunday, Biden’s approval rating reached 44%, the highest level since October last year. Poll Tracker By Decision Desk Headquarters/hill.
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