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New Delhi, Nov 12 (IANS) The ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is set to return to power in Bihar but with a slim margin over the RJD-Congress-led Grand Alliance (MGB), Axis My India predicted in its exit poll on Wednesday.
The leading polling agency has predicted that the Nitish Kumar-led NDA will win between 121 to 140 seats, the Grand Alliance may win 98-118 seats, while the Prashant Kishor-led Jan Suraj Party is expected to win between 0-2 seats in the 243-member assembly.
According to Axis My India exit poll projections, the NDA is likely to get 43 per cent vote share, while the MGB is seen contenting with 2 per cent less vote share at 41 per cent.
The highlight of the exit polls is that the Tejashwi Yadav-led RJD is emerging as the largest party in the high-stakes assembly elections with 67-76 seats on its own, effectively registering a strike rate of over 50 per cent.
Both BJP and JD(U) are seen getting 18 per cent vote share, while Chirag Paswan-led LJP (RV), Jitan Ram Manjhi-led HAM and Upendra Kushwaha-led RLM are expected to get 5 per cent, 1 per cent vote share respectively.
In the MGB block, RJD is seen getting 24 per cent vote share, Congress 10 per cent and Mukesh Sahni-led VIP 2 per cent. The Left parties along with CPI (ML), CPI and CPI (M) will get 5 percent votes.
Jan Suraj is expected to get 4 per cent vote share, while Asaduddin Owaisi-led AIMIM may claim more than 1 per cent of the votes, dashing widespread expectations that the huge turnout was a mandate against the incumbent Nitish Kumar government.
Axis My India’s estimates are in contrast to other pollsters, as most of them have given a clear and decisive lead to the ruling NDA and a major blow to the Grand Alliance.
For ‘newbie’ Jan Suraj, Axis My India’s predictions are on the same footing as other pollsters as the party, which became the talk of the town in Bihar elections, is expected to finish at the bottom with a possible win on 0-2 seats.
–IANS
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