Argentine President Miley to issue a dollar bond with an eye on the rebound in global markets

Argentine President Miley to issue a dollar bond with an eye on the rebound in global markets

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Argentina’s liberal government chairman xavier miley It announced on Friday it would issue dollar bonds for the first time in nearly eight years, as the cash-strapped country seeks a return to international markets and faces a massive debt crisis in the coming months.

The dollar-denominated sovereign bonds, issued under Argentine law and targeted at foreign and local investors, have an interest rate or coupon of 6.5% and mature in November 2029, the Economy Ministry said, without giving details on the size of the offering.

Analysts say the bond auction signals growing confidence in President Meili’s reforms, as his party’s landslide victory in the midterm elections has reassured bondholders that his government will be able to pay them back.

“This shows that they are gradually taking steps towards normalizing the market and reducing dependence on international reserves, which is a big concern,” said Argentine economist Fernando Marul.

“Ideally, the loan should be paid off with refinancing, not with scarce reserves. It’s like going to the bank and refinancing your loan instead of paying the whole thing in cash out of your pocket. That’s why it’s so important.”

Economy Minister Luis Caputo said the money would be important to settle a portion of the $4.2 billion debt due on January 9, without having to tap reserves. Because the bond will not be issued under foreign law, he said, it will not require congressional approval.

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“Reopening foreign exchange debt markets will expand the Treasury’s options regarding the tools available for debt management,” Caputo wrote on social media, crediting the move to Milli’s success in reining in the budget deficit and removing most of the capital controls that have closed its debt markets.

Gaining access to international lending markets has been one of Miley’s goals since the hard-line liberal economist took office in late 2023 to reduce severe inflation, stabilize Argentina’s troubled economy and reverse years of huge public spending under left-wing populist governments.

Argentina has defaulted on its debt nine times due to severe economic crises, most recently in the 2020 restructuring. As a result, the country has been unable to borrow from abroad over the past two decades due to high borrowing costs and legal tussles with troubled foreign investors.

Without tapping global capital markets – that is, how governments around the world borrow or repay debt – Argentina will struggle to expand its economy, and repay its more than $40 billion debt to the International Monetary Fund.

Earlier this year, Caputo secured a new $20 billion loan from the IMF to help the country pursue fiscal reforms. To unlock successive tranches of funds, Meili’s government committed to increasing its net hard-currency reserves to about $5 billion by the end of the year.

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozak told reporters on Thursday that it “will be challenging” for Argentina to meet the year-end reserve target. He warned that Miley’s current exchange rate policy of boosting the peso has slowed reserve accumulation, saying:

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“We continue to advocate that the authorities should use the window of opportunity to implement a coherent and robust monetary and foreign exchange framework to aid the accumulation of reserves.”

Miley has pumped billions of dollars from the central bank’s treasury into a bid to shore up the depreciating Argentine peso in recent months.

That strategy was pushed to the extreme ahead of the midterm elections as doubts about the trajectory of Miley’s harsh austerity plan increased pressure on the peso. As the official rate of the peso fell against the dollar, the US President donald trump Moved to rescue its ideological ally with a $20 billion credit line and outright purchase of pesos.

While the election victory thrilled markets and vindicated Trump, unease remains that if Miley is relying on a stronger peso to fight inflation, there will be nothing to stop him from spending foreign reserves again – not even a bond auction, which experts say is less attractive to foreign investors because of being issued under local law.

“I don’t think this represents a comeback in international markets,” said Juan Battaglia, chief economist at stock brokerage Cucchiara. Buenos Aires,

“The government has made significant progress in normalizing the financial account, but there is still a long way to go.”