Voting recently with the intention of voting Yougov (27 May) show Improvement Britain in first place, 8% ahead Labor And 10% ahead TraditionalistWhich is now third.
Increasing popularity of Nigel FarajParty is an unprecedented threat to major parties. It went home in recent local elections in England, where reform won 677 seats and controlled 10 local authorities. But where does this support come from?
The survey compared the intentions of the defendant voting in the 2024 general election with his votes.
If we look at orthodox voters, 27% of them have switched to improve their voting intentions, while 66% are loyal. Dangerous for labor, only 60% of his 2024 voters remain loyal, and intend to vote for 15% improvement, while 12% switch Liberal democrat And 9% Greens,
The labor is squeezed on both sides of the political spectrum, but the loss on the left is much larger than the right side loss.
In contrast, 73% of Liberal Democrats remain loyal to the voter party, with only 7% for improvement and 8% for labor. Not surprisingly, 91% improvement voters remain loyal, 5% are going to conservatives and 3% are going to greens. No reform voters have switched to labor or liberal democrats.
The rise of the reform has inspired the Labor Government to take a more staunch stance on major issues, especially immigration and asylum – which is the most important issue of the country facing the country.
And with the crossing of the small boat when growing again, it remains to be seen whether it will be sufficient to reduce pure migration to reduce the recent proposals of the government.
Social backgrounds and party support
If we conduct a little more check in the social characteristics of voters, only the support of children aged 18 to 24 years, compared to 35% of 50 to 64-year-old children and 33% of more than 65. Some 34% youth group support labor, 12% orthodox, 15% Liberal Democrat and 25% greens.
As far as children aged 50 to 64 years are concerned, 19% support labor, 16% orthodox, 16% Liberal Democrat and 9% Greens. When it comes to the support of the party, there is currently an important age division.
Regarding classes (or as “social grades” it is described in contemporary surveys), 23% of the middle class support correction compared to 38% of the working class. The latter was the basis of labor support a few generations earlier, but now only 19% support labor, with 17% and support 12% Liberal Democrats.
In addition to improvement, current support for parties among middle class voters, 22% for labor, 21% for conservators and 17% for Liberal Democrats. Then, the middle class used to be a prominent supporters of the Conservative Party, but the party is currently running third behind its rivals in this group.
Finally, the relationship between gender and support for parties is also interesting. Some 35% of male respondents supported improvement compared to only 24% female respondents.
In contrast, 21% of both men and women support labor. Figures for conservatives are 16% of male and 22% females, and Liberal Democrat support is 14% from men and 16% from women.
There is also remarkable support for improvement among those holiday in 2016 Brexit Referendum in YouGov Survey. Overall, 53% of holiday voters in the European Union’s referendum chose to improve and 24% supported conservatives, with 8% assistant labor, 8% Liberal Democrats and 4% Greens. In the case of voters living, 10% chose improvement, 17% for conservatives, 30% for labor, 23% for Liberal Democrats and 14% for Greens.
Not surprisingly, the reform takes the largest share of Brexit voters, but only half of them – indicating that the support has changed a lot since the 2016 referendum and the role of Farz in the holiday campaign. The fact is that 10% of the remaining voters switch to improve and 20% holiday voters have switched on labor, Liberal Democrats or Greens suggests that it is not a simple case of support for Brexit which is leading to support for improvement.
Voting and volatility
Before Nigel Faraz begins to choose curtains for number 10, it is worth seeing another unstable moment in British political history – the impact of partition at the Labor Party in 1981, when the social democratic party was formed by “Gang of Four” Brexway Labor Politicians, Sherly Williams, Roy Jenkins, David Owen and Bill Roadrs.
The newly formed party agreed to an election agreement with liberals, which continued until the 1983 election. A Gallop Poll published in December 1981 features a large-scale lead for SDP-Liberal Alliance.
And yet, the conservatives of Margaret Thatcher conquered that election. The Labor came to the second place by a small margin in front of the SDP-Liberal Alliance and remained the main opposition party.
This example is that SDP-Liberal Alliance did not succeed in the general election after two years after a large-scale lead in elections. Improvement may now be under leadership, but this does not mean that it will win the 2028-29 general election.
He said, there is a real risk for labor that continues to lose support to both left and right – something that needs to be repaired rapidly. Rahel reeves“Iron Chancellor” strategy, in which the government announces fiscal rules, which it claims to stand at all costs, is no longer reliable.
As the government’s institute states, every fiscal rule adopted since 2008 has been released later. The strategy of austerities released by significantly cutting in the welfare budget to calm the financial markets is likely to fail in both the economy and both the voters.
Paul is a professor in the government department at the University of Whitle Essex.
This article is reinstated by negotiations under a creative Commons License. read the Original article,
