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New Delhi, October 21 (IANS) The Pakistani Army has been caught in many embarrassing situations in recent times. While Operation Sindoor exposed the flaws within the Pakistan Army, it suffered heavy losses at the hands of terrorist groups, all of which it had created.
Pakistan may have reached a delicate agreement with the Taliban, but many are questioning how long it will last. The rate at which Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) has damaged the military has now encouraged other terrorist groups to seize power.
Pakistan watchers and security experts say that there are many organizations which want to overthrow this establishment. TTP, Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ) and Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) want the rule of Islam to be established in Pakistan and the regime to be overthrown.
LeJ has largely focused on sectarian violence and targeted religious minorities. It is not in the good books of the establishment and it may increase the scope of its attacks in the near future.
It has launched attacks against the Pakistan establishment in the past, and now the concern for Islamabad is that LeJ may go back into alliance with ISKP or TTP. LeJ has had separate alliances with both these groups in the past and hence a recurrence cannot be ruled out. The ISKP, which was inducted into Pakistan to fight against the TTP and the Afghan Taliban, cannot retreat due to the existing ceasefire.
ISKP had mainly joined hands with the Pakistani establishment to fight against the Afghan Taliban. However, if both sides have made peace, ISKP may retreat. It is more likely that ISKP may join hands with LeJ rather than TTP. TTP is believed to be supported by the Afghan Taliban.
Moreover, ISKP was formed by former members of TTP, and hence, it is difficult for the two to come together. Whether these groups come together or not, they are well aware of the weaknesses within the Pakistani Army.
Intelligence Bureau officials say that, according to their assessment, even if these groups fight individually, they will launch large-scale attacks against the establishment in the coming days. Pakistan is also in no position to take the support of Lashkar-e-Taiba or Jaish-e-Mohammed to fight against these groups. Jaish-e-Mohammed has had a very hot and cold relationship with the ruling establishment. Moreover, if it is asked to fight against TTP, there could be a split in the organization.
Jaish-e-Mohammed is sympathetic to both the Afghan Taliban and the TTP and hence may not join the establishment. The case of Lashkar-e-Taiba is also similar. Although the organization has never rebelled against power, there was a possibility of a major split when Pakistan was helping the US in the war in Afghanistan. Many cadres were unhappy with this stance and even threatened to leave and join the Taliban in Afghanistan.
While these groups are in danger of going out of control, the Pakistani Army also faces another problem and that is Balochistan.
Baloch groups are motivated by ethnic nationalism and secular separatism. They are demanding an independent evidence. Baloch groups have caused great embarrassment to the Pakistani Army in recent years. Apart from the military, they have mainly targeted Chinese citizens and investments. These groups have also realized that the army is weak and Pakistan is struggling on many fronts, so it will be ready for a big fight in Balochistan also.
–IANS
Vicky/UK