NOAA just released its holiday season forecast

KANIKA SINGH RATHORE,

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Jack Frost may not put that much pressure on your nose in this winter seasonAccording to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration new winter outlook,

Forecasters warned Thursday that it’s going to be a dry and hot year for a wide swath of the United States.

Only the northern states are expected to see cooler and wetter conditions between December and February. However the outlook does not include snowfall or how much precipitation will occur.

“The scenario does not project seasonal snowfall accumulation because snowfall typically cannot be predicted more than a week in advance, and areas that are warmer than normal may still experience cold weather during the season,” NOAA explained,

The forecast across the country is driven by a weak La Niña climate pattern that is expected to persist throughout the year. Typically, this means cooler and wetter weather for North America and dry and warmer weather on the South and East Coast.

NOAA just released its winter outlook. It's looking wet and cold – but only for the northern states

NOAA just released its winter outlook. It’s looking wet and cold – but only for the northern states ,getty images,

South

Mild to average winter is expected in the southern part of the country.

All southern states stretching from California to Florida are expected to have above average temperatures and at or below average precipitation.

Most may receive or are likely to receive below seasonal average rainfall.

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“Northern shifts in hurricane paths during the winter months often coincide with La Niña events, so the southern tier of the country is projected to be warmer and drier than normal,” John Gottschalk, chief of the Operations Prediction Branch for NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, said in a statement.

west and south west

NOAA's winter precipitation outlook shows a wet winter across northern states with a focus on the Intermountain West

NOAA’s winter precipitation outlook shows a wet winter across northern states with a focus on the Intermountain West ,NWS Twin Cities/X,

Drier than average conditions are forecast for the desert Southwest, Gulf Coast and areas from Florida to the Carolinas.

More than 61 percent of the West is already in moderate drought conditions, according to US Drought Monitor,

The outlook shows persistent and worsening conditions through the winter from southern Texas to California.

But that’s not the case for the Pacific Northwest, where NOAA’s operational drought leadership says some relief is most likely.

midwest

Wetter than average conditions are expected in the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes region, providing some relief from drought.

However, according to the outlook, there is an equal chance of lower or higher average temperatures in the Midwest.

“In Indiana, precipitation is above average,” in Indiana WISHTV.com forecasters said“This does not necessarily guarantee above-average snowfall, as precipitation includes mixed precipitation such as rain, snow and sleet.”

NOAA's winter temperature outlook shows warm weather across much of the US South and Southeast

NOAA’s winter temperature outlook shows warm weather across much of the US South and Southeast ,NWS Twin Cities/X,

East

In the northeast, New York City, as seen last year It’s the first white Christmas in 15 yearsThis year may not be so magical.

Eastern seaboard states may also see milder than average winters.

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“From December through February, we’re seeing above normal temperatures across the western Carolinas,” said Fox Carolina meteorologist Chrissy Kohler. Explained,

This also applies to much of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic.

in Florida, Greg D of Tampa Bay 28 said The warmest conditions overall will be in the central and southern parts of the Sunshine State.

The Rockies, Plains, and New England

There is a central part of the US and New England where average temperatures and rainfall are equally likely to be more or less.

But there are differences between the temperature and precipitation approaches.

“The biggest achievement was their temperature forecast that showed a slightly higher probability of a warmer than average winter in southern New England,” CBS Boston noted,

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