Huge red wave: CNN admits Democrats are set for midterms – Republicans could gain 7-17 House seats!

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You know it’s bad when even CNN is giving up hope for the Democrats…

All I can say is that there is a massive red wave coming for the 2028 midterms and that’s not even considering all the incredible things President Trump is going to do between now and then.

This could be truly historic!

Here’s a brief summary of the CNN video I’m going to show you to get you up to speed:

  • CNN’s Harry Enten warns Democrats they will have to face this Grim 2026 mid-term outlook Due to stalled voting and weak momentum.
  • In contrast to the “blue wave” of 2018, the Democrats’ +3 general ballot lead has not increased There are signs of enthusiasm subsiding since April.
  • Redistricting favors RepublicansThose who control more states have a greater chance of gaining a new seat.
  • Supreme Court Voting Rights Act case GOP gains could be further expanded by eliminating some race-based districts.
  • Overall, Republicans could see Net gain from 7 to 17 House seatsSetting them up firmly for 2026.

Now you just have to see, because it’s a thing of beauty:

Transcript:

Harry Enten:

2017, 2018, right? Because that’s kind of the baseline. Of course, that was Trump’s first term. This is where the Democrats were kind of adjusting. You go back to April, look at the general congressional ballot. What did you see? You will see +3 Democrats in April in 2025. In April 2017 you will see +3 Democrats. Now, go to this side of the screen.

What happens? Well, the Democrats are no longer keeping pace with the pace they were setting in 2017, 2018. If you look back in 2017, you saw that the Democrats had an 8-point lead. I remember covering it. I remember a lot of people – including myself – used to say, “You know what? The Republicans look pretty decent right now in terms of the fact that they had the House, they had the Senate, they had the presidency, but there was a possibility of things turning around.” And I was looking for the same signs this year.

The bottom line is that it didn’t happen, Kate Bolduan. This has not happened. The Democrats have basically held steady. They have fallen off pace. The Democrats were well ahead on the general congressional ballot in 2017, and now we’re basically seeing the Democrats ahead, but again, they’re so far behind that pace that they’re right back where they are.

And so, I think what a lot of people are seeing, people like me are saying, “Wait a minute. Given what we’re seeing in redistricting, will this +3 be enough, Kate Bolduan?”

Kate Bolduan:

Well, that’s what I was going to ask. A change from that cycle is also this mid-decade redistricting effort that we’ve been covering a lot. Add that to this, and what do you get?

Harry Enten:

Okay, so let’s add this in. We take a look at the national picture, but then we, of course, take a look at the state legislatures. Correct. They’re potentially changing things, and there are two things going on here.

First, the net mid-decade redistributive gains. If both sides maximize at this point, a greater Republican gain than Democratic gain is possible. Yes, the Democrats can try to take on a Texas and a California, but you go to individual states and basically the Democrats run out of space, while the Republicans are able to gain and gain advantage.

If both parties perform at maximum, we are probably looking at the GOP gaining +7 House seats.

This doesn’t even take into account the potential destruction of the VRA, which is currently before the Supreme Court.

Kate Bolduan:

If you add this to this, you can see-

Harry Enten:

Voting Rights, Voting Rights Act.

Kate Bolduan:

What?

Harry Enten:

Yes. Voting Rights Act. That’s right – the Voting Rights Act. If you add this, you can consider adding 10, 12, 15, 17 on top of this 7 seats.

So, I think a lot of people like me are looking at this and saying, “Hey, wait a minute. Those national polls – the Democrats are not achieving the way we expected.”

Back up here if necessary:

More bad news for the Dems from a few days ago…

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Watch:

  • CNN’s Harry Enten warned that Democrats will face Tough outlook for 2026 mid-termCiting weak approval ratings and minimal voting momentum.
  • Democrats expected another “blue Wave” Like 2018, but current polling does not indicate the same surge.
  • In both April 2017 and April 2025, Democrats organized a 3 point lead on the general congressional ballot – but unlike 2017, that lead haven’t grown up,
  • By October 2017, Democrats had expanded their advantage. 8 pointsindicating strong momentum that year; Now there is no such benefit.
  • Enten said the Democrats have “Falled from speed” compared to 2017 and questioned whether a smaller margin of +3 would be enough to take over the House.
  • redistribution That favors Republicans, because they control more states where the new maps could gain additional GOP seats.
  • prefer democratic states Maryland, Illinois and Massachusetts They already have little room for further gains, limiting their potential.
  • Enten speculated that, even if both parties maximized their maps, Republicans could gain an advantage. about seven House seatsPurely by redistribution.
  • Current Supreme Court case comprising of Voting Rights Act Republicans may have more to gain by attacking districts drawn along racial lines.
  • If that happens, Enten speculated Republican advantage could increase to 10-17 additional seatsEspecially in the southern states.
  • Overall, the data suggests Republicans are positioned for a net House gain Unless Democrats see a big surge in late-cycle voting in 2026.
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